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Impact of cross-border-associated cases on the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Switzerland during summer 2020 and 2021
During the summers of 2020 and 2021, the number of confirmed cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SAR...
Dose response for Salmonella Typhimurium and Enteritidis and other nontyphoid enteric salmonellae
This dose response assessment combines data from 6 human challenge studies and 44 outbreaks to determine infectivity and p...
Modelling the dynamics of infection, waning of immunity and re-infection with the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Aotearoa New Zealand
Aotearoa New Zealand experienced a wave of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in 2022 with around 200 confirmed cases per 1...
Mapping the plague through natural language processing
Volume 41, December 2022, 100656Author links open overlay panelHighlights•Natural language processing is a promising tool ...
Data needs for integrated economic-epidemiological models of pandemic mitigation policies
The COVID-19 pandemic and the mitigation policies implemented in response to it have resulted in economic losses worldwide...
Considering equity in priority setting using transmission models: Recommendations and data needs
Volume 41, December 2022, 100648Highlights•Evidence from economic evaluations using transmission models is increasingly in...
In the shadow of privacy: Overlooked ethical concerns in COVID-19 digital epidemiology
The COVID-19 pandemic witnessed a surge in the use of health data to combat the public health threat. As a result, the use...
The impact of reactive case detection on malaria transmission in Zanzibar in the presence of human mobility
Available online 20 October 2022, 100639Highlights•Imported infections are a key driver in the persistence of malaria in Z...
Calibrating COVID-19 Community Transmission Risk Levels to Reflect Infection Prevalence
Available online 22 October 2022, 100646Highlights•We develop a data-driven framework to determine community COVID-19 tran...
Impact of disruptions to routine vaccination programs, quantifying burden of measles, and mapping targeted supplementary immunization activities
Available online 22 October 2022, 100647Highlights•Disruptions to routine measles vaccination services result in potential...
A comparison of COVID-19 outbreaks across US Combined Statistical Areas using new methods for estimating R0 and social distancing behaviour
Volume 41, December 2022, 100640Highlights•We present a novel method to extract and analyse initial exponential outbreak p...
Mathematical modelling Treponema infection in free-ranging Olive baboons (Papio anubis) in Tanzania
Yaws is a chronic infection caused by the bacterium Treponema pallidum susp. pertenue (TPE) that was thought to be an excl...
Structural identifiability of compartmental models for infectious disease transmission is influenced by data type
If model identifiability is not confirmed, inferences from infectious disease transmission models may not be reliable, so ...
Considering waning immunity to better explain dengue dynamics
Available online 10 October 2022, 100630Highlights•Life-long serotype-specific immunity in dengue infection may not always...
A comparison of COVID-19 outbreaks across US Combined Statistical Areas using new methods for estimating R0 and social distancing behaviour
Available online 10 October 2022, 100640Highlights•We present a novel method to extract and analyse initial exponential ou...
Insight into Delta Variant Dominated Second Wave of COVID-19 in Nepal
Available online 6 October 2022, 100642Highlights•We analyzed data of Delta Variant Dominated Second Wave of COVID-19 in N...
Using next generation matrices to estimate the proportion of infections that are not detected in an outbreak
Volume 41, December 2022, 100637Highlights•Next generation matrices can be used to estimate the proportion of infections t...
Modeling nation-wide U.S. swine movement networks at the resolution of the individual premises
Available online 2 October 2022, 100636Highlights•Bayesian MCMC model of the U.S. swine shipment network.•Simulates networ...
Optimizing prevalence estimates for a novel pathogen by reducing uncertainty in test characteristics
Available online 27 September 2022, 100634Highlights•Uncertainty in estimated prevalence should account for uncertainty in...
Symptom-based vs asymptomatic testing for controlling SARS-CoV-2 transmission in low- and middle-income countries: A modelling analysis
Volume 41, December 2022, 100631Highlights•Rapid and affordable testing can be critical in the response to the SARS-CoV-2 ...
A mixed methods analysis of participation in a social contact survey
BackgroundSocial contact survey data forms a core component of modern epidemic models: however, there has been little asse...
Complementary roles of wild boar and red deer to animal tuberculosis maintenance in multi-host communities
The contribution of wildlife species to pathogen maintenance in multi-host communities has seldom been quantified. To asse...
Why does age at HIV infection correlate with set point viral load? An evolutionary hypothesis
Available online 21 September 2022, 100629Highlights•Selection bottlenecks lead those with lower HIV risk to acquire more ...
Assessing K-12 School Reopenings Under Different COVID-19 Spread Scenarios – United States, School Year 2020/21: A Retrospective Modeling Study
IntroductionSchool-age children play a key role in the spread of airborne viruses like influenza due to the prolonged and ...
Preface: Challenges for future pandemics
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The role of public involvement in the design of the first SARS-CoV-2 human challenge study during an evolving pandemic
High quality health care research must involve patients and the public. This ensures research is important, relevant and a...
Filtering and improved Uncertainty Quantification in the dynamic estimation of effective reproduction numbers
Volume 40, September 2022, 100624AbstractThe effective reproduction number Rt measures an infectious disease’s transmissib...
Stochastic modelling of African swine fever in wild boar and domestic pigs: Epidemic forecasting and comparison of disease management strategies
Volume 40, September 2022, 100622Highlights•We developed a stochastic model for ASF transmission among wild boar and domes...
The African swine fever modelling challenge: Model comparison and lessons learnt
Volume 40, September 2022, 100615Highlights•The challenge was based on a synthetic ASF epidemic among pigs and wild boar.•...
Response to COVID-19 during the Tokyo Olympic Games: Did we properly assess the risk?
Available online 27 July 2022, 100618Highlights•COVID-19 response options for the Tokyo Olympic Games were quantitatively ...