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Density forecasting of conjunctivitis burden using high-dimensional environmental time series data
As one of the most common eye conditions being presented at clinics, acute conjunctivitis puts substantial strain on prima...
Optimal capacity sharing for global genomic surveillance
Recent technological advances and substantial cost reductions have made the genomic surveillance of pathogens during pande...
Influence of setting-dependent contacts and protective behaviours on asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection amongst members of a UK university
Available online 20 May 2023, 100688Author links open overlay panel, , , , , Highlights•We regress SARS-CoV-2 test outcome...
Association between pertussis vaccination coverage and other sociodemographic factors and pertussis incidence using surveillance data
Routine vaccination with pertussis vaccines has been successful in driving down pertussis mortality and morbidity globally...
A model for malaria treatment evaluation in the presence of multiple species
Available online 18 May 2023, 100687Author links open overlay panel, , , , , , , , , , Highlights•We present a mathematica...
Data needs for better surveillance and response to infectious disease threats
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Malaria Temporal Dynamic Clustering for Surveillance and Intervention Planning
The data analysed for this study are available upon request to the Mahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit data acc...
On the contact tracing for COVID-19: A simulation study
Methods:In order to analyse individual contact tracing in a reasonably realistic setup, we construct an agent-based model ...
Integrative modelling of reported case numbers and seroprevalence reveals time-dependent test efficiency and infectious contacts
KoCo19 study group: Emad Alamoudi, Jared Anderson, Valeria Baldassare, Maximilian Baumann, Marc Becker, Marieke Behlen, Je...
Accounting for historical injustices in mathematical models of infectious disease transmission: An analytic overview
Differences in infectious disease risk, acquisition, and severity arise from intersectional systems of oppression and resu...
Demonstrating multi-country calibration of a tuberculosis model using new history matching and emulation package - hmer
Author links open overlay panelDanny Scarponi a, Andrew Iskauskas b, Rebecca A Clark a, Ian Vernon b, Trevelyan J. McKinle...
Data pipelines in a public health emergency: The human in the machine
In an emergency epidemic response, data providers supply data on a best-faith effort to modellers and analysts who are typ...
Education data needs and challenges for building back from COVID-19
The COVID-19 pandemic has led governments worldwide to impose extensive restrictions on citizens, some of which may have l...
A novel method to jointly estimate transmission rate and decay rate parameters in environmental transmission models
In environmental transmission, pathogens transfer from one individual to another via the environment. It is a common trans...
A statistical framework for tracking the time-varying superspreading potential of COVID-19 epidemic
Timely detection of an evolving event of an infectious disease with superspreading potential is imperative for territory-w...
An exploration of within-herd dynamics of a transboundary livestock disease: A foot and mouth disease case study
Available online 18 January 2023, 100668Author links open overlay panelHighlights•Within-herd dynamics of transboundary li...
Factors driving norovirus transmission in long-term care facilities: a case-level analysis of 107 outbreaks
Volume 42, March 2023, 100671Author links open overlay panelHighlights•Norovirus is the most common cause of gastroenterit...
Preface of the African swine fever modelling challenge special issue
Available online 11 January 2023, 100669Author links open overlay panelPaulineEzannoaPersonEnvelopeSebastienPicaultaEnvelo...
Inferring ASF transmission in domestic pigs and wild boars using a paired model iterative approach
Available online 13 January 2023, 100665Author links open overlay panelAbstractThe rapid spread of African swine fever (AS...
Climate change and communicable diseases in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries
Available online 13 January 2023, 100667Author links open overlay panelHighlights•The spread of communicable diseases will...
Large-scale measurement of aggregate human colocation patterns for epidemiological modeling
In order to maintain data security, Colocation Maps are not fully public but, rather, are made available to epidemiologist...
Coughs, colds and “freshers’ flu” survey in the University of Cambridge, 2007–2008
Universities provide many opportunities for the spread of infectious respiratory illnesses. Students are brought together ...
Large-scale calibration and simulation of COVID-19 epidemiologic scenarios to support healthcare planning
Available online 17 December 2022, 100662Author links open overlay panelHighlights•An agent-based model of COVID-19 transm...
Testing a Simple and Frugal Model of Health Protective Behaviour in Epidemic Times
Available online 5 December 2022, 100658Author links open overlay panelHighlights•Agent-based modelling might be useful to...
Impact of cross-border-associated cases on the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Switzerland during summer 2020 and 2021
During the summers of 2020 and 2021, the number of confirmed cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SAR...
Dose response for Salmonella Typhimurium and Enteritidis and other nontyphoid enteric salmonellae
This dose response assessment combines data from 6 human challenge studies and 44 outbreaks to determine infectivity and p...
Modelling the dynamics of infection, waning of immunity and re-infection with the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Aotearoa New Zealand
Aotearoa New Zealand experienced a wave of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in 2022 with around 200 confirmed cases per 1...
Mapping the plague through natural language processing
Volume 41, December 2022, 100656Author links open overlay panelHighlights•Natural language processing is a promising tool ...
Data needs for integrated economic-epidemiological models of pandemic mitigation policies
The COVID-19 pandemic and the mitigation policies implemented in response to it have resulted in economic losses worldwide...
Considering equity in priority setting using transmission models: Recommendations and data needs
Volume 41, December 2022, 100648Highlights•Evidence from economic evaluations using transmission models is increasingly in...
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