Waning success: a 2013–2022 spatial and temporal trend analysis of malaria in Ethiopia

WHO. The Abuja Declaration and the plan of action: an extract from the African Summit on Roll Back Marlaria, Abuja, 25 April 2000 (WHO/CDS/RBM/2000.17). Geneva: World Health Organization; 2003. https://iris.who.int/handle/10665/67816.

WHO. A framework for malaria elimination. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2017.

WHO. World malaria report 2020. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2020. Report No.: 978-92-4-001579-1. https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240015791.

WHO. Global technical strategy for malaria 2016–2030. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2015.

Ansah EK, Moucheraud C, Arogundade L, Rangel GW. Rethinking integrated service delivery for malaria. PLoS Glob Public Health. 2022;2(6): e0000462.

Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

WHO. Global technical strategy for malaria 2016–2030, 2021 update. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2021. https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240031357.

WHO. World Malaria Report 2023. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2023.

Emiru T, Getachew D, Murphy M, Sedda L, Ejigu LA, Bulto MG, et al. Evidence for a role of Anopheles stephensi in the spread of drug and diagnosis-resistant malaria in Africa. Nat Med. 2023;29(12):3203–11.

Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

Fola AA, Feleke SM, Mohammed H, Brhane BG, Hennelly CM, Assefa A, et al. Plasmodium falciparum resistant to artemisinin and diagnostics have emerged in Ethiopia. Nat Microbiol. 2023;8(10):1911–9.

Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

WHO. Global technical strategy and targets for malaria 2016–2030. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2024. https://apps.who.int/gb/ebwha/pdf_files/WHA77/A77_6-en.pdf.

Ashine T, Eyasu A, Asmamaw Y, Simma E, Zemene E, Epstein A, et al. Spatiotemporal distribution and bionomics of Anopheles stephensi in different eco-epidemiological settings in Ethiopia. Parasit Vectors. 2024;17:166.

Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

Kelly-Hope LA, Harding-Esch EM, Willems J, Ahmed F, Sanders AM. Conflict-climate-displacement: a cross-sectional ecological study determining the burden, risk and need for strategies for neglected tropical disease programmes in Africa. BMJ Open. 2023;13(5): e071557.

Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

Taffese HS, Hemming-Schroeder E, Koepfli C, Tesfaye G, Lee M-C, Kazura J, et al. Malaria epidemiology and interventions in Ethiopia from 2001 to 2016. Infect Dis Poverty. 2018;7:103.

Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

NMEP. Ethiopia Malaria Elimination Strategic Plan: 2021–2025. Addis Ababa: Ministry of Health; 2020. http://repository.iifphc.org/xmlui/handle/123456789/1526.

Girum T, Shumbej T, Shewangizaw M. Burden of malaria in Ethiopia, 2000–2016: findings from the Global Health Estimates 2016. Trop Dis Travel Med Vaccines. 2019;5:11.

Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

WHO. World Malaria Report 2019. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2019. https://iris.who.int/bitstream/handle/10665/330011/9789241565721-eng.pdf?sequence=1.

NMER. National Malaria Elimination Roadmap: 2017–2030. Addis Ababa: Ministry of Health; 2021. https://www.scribd.com/document/587696971/Malaria-Elimination-Roadmap-Ethiopia-final-H.

Woyessa A, Siebert A, Owusu A, Cousin R, Dinku T, Thomson MC. El Niño and other climatic drivers of epidemic malaria in Ethiopia: new tools for national health adaptation plans. Malar J. 2023;22:195.

Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

Balkew M, Mumba P, Yohannes G, Abiy E, Getachew D, Yared S, et al. An update on the distribution, bionomics, and insecticide susceptibility of Anopheles stephensi in Ethiopia, 2018–2020. Malar J. 2021;20:263.

Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

Collins O, Duffy K. A mathematical model for the dynamics and control of malaria in Nigeria. Infect Dis Model. 2022;7(4):728–41.

CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

Smith TA, Chitnis N, Penny M, Tanner M. Malaria modeling in the era of eradication. Cold Spring Harb Perspect Med. 2017;7(4): a025460.

Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

FMoH. An epidemiological profile of malaria in Ethiopia. Addis Ababa: Ministry of Health; 2014.https://webarchive.lshtm.ac.uk/www.linkmalaria.org/sites/link/files/content/country/profiles/Ethiopia%20Epi%20Report%20(240314).pdf.

FMoH. Ethiopia Health and Health Related Indicators 2010–2011. Addis Ababa: Ministry of Health; 2012. https://ghdx.healthdata.org/record/ethiopia-health-and-health-related-indicators-2010-2011.

Haileselassie W, Parker DM, Taye B, David RE, Zemene E, Lee MC, et al. Burden of malaria, impact of interventions and climate variability in Western Ethiopia: an area with large irrigation based farming. BMC Public Health. 2022;22:196.

Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

FMoH. Ethiopia: National Malaria Guidelines, Fourth edition. Addis Ababa: Ministry of Health; 2017. https://reliefweb.int/report/ethiopia/ethiopia-national-malaria-guidelines-fourth-edition-november-2017.

EPHI. Ethiopia National Malaria Indicator Survey 2015. Addis Ababa: Ethiopian Public Health Institute; 2016. https://www.malariasurveys.org/documents/Ethiopia_MIS_2015.pdf.

Ethiopia: Subnational Administrative Boundaries [Internet]. United Nation. 2021. Available from: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cb58fa1f-687d-4cac-81a7-655ab1efb2d0. Accessed 24 April 2024.

Ethiopia: Subnational Population Statistics [Internet]. United Nation. 2022. Available from: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ps-eth. Accessed 24 April 2024.

Malaria Threats Map: Invasive vector species [Internet]. World Health Organization. 2024. Available from: https://apps.who.int/malaria/maps/threats/. Accessed 24 April 2024.

Hilbe JM. Modeling count data. 32 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10013–2473, USA: Cambridge University Press; 2014.

Lawson AB. Bayesian disease mapping: hierarchical modeling in spatial epidemiology. 3rd edn: Chapman and Hall/CRC; 2018.

Rue H, Martino S, Chopin N. Approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models by using integrated nested Laplace approximations. J R Stat Soc Series B Stat Methodol. 2009;71(2):319–92.

Article  Google Scholar 

Martins TG, Simpson D, Lindgren F, Rue H. Bayesian computing with INLA: new features. Comput Stat Data Anal. 2013;67:68–83.

Article  Google Scholar 

Wang X, Yue YR, Faraway JJ. Bayesian regression modeling with INLA. New York: Chapman and Hall; 2018. p. 324.

Book  Google Scholar 

Gómez-Rubio V. Bayesian inference with INLA. Boca Raton, FL: Chapman & Hall/CRC Press; 2020.

Book  Google Scholar 

Everitt BS, Landau S, Leese M, Stahl D. Cluster analysis. New York: John Wiley & Sons, Ltd; 2011.

Book  Google Scholar 

Osland A, Beyene D, Vefring HK, De Wit TR, Wright MS. Identification and characterization of human B-cell epitopes in recombinant antigens of Leishmania aethiopica. Parasite Immunol. 1996;18(5):265–9.

Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

Gelman A, Goodrich B, Gabry J, Vehtari A. R-squared for Bayesian regression models. Am Stat. 2019;73:3.

Article  Google Scholar 

Thomson MC, Ukawuba I, Hershey CL, Bennett A, Ceccato P, Lyon B, et al. Using rainfall and temperature data in the evaluation of national malaria control programs in Africa. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2017;97(Suppl 3):32.

Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

Alemu K, Worku A, Berhane Y. Malaria infection has spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal heterogeneity in unstable malaria transmission areas in northwest Ethiopia. PLoS ONE. 2013;8(11): e79966.

Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

Zhou G, Taffese HS, Zhong D, Wang X, Lee M-C, Degefa T, et al. Resurgence of clinical malaria in Ethiopia and its link to Anopheles stephensi invasion. Pathogens. 2024;13:9.

Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

Teka H, Golassa L, Medhin G, Balkew M, Sisay C, Gadisa E, et al. Trend analysis of malaria in urban settings in Ethiopia from 2014 to 2019. Malar J. 2023;22:235.

Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

Cummins B, Cortez R, Foppa IM, Walbeck J, Hyman JM. A spatial model of mosquito host-seeking behavior. PLoS Comput Biol. 2012;8(5): e1002500.

Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

Huestis DL, Dao A, Diallo M, Sanogo ZL, Samake D, Yaro AS, et al. Windborne long-distance migration of malaria mosquitoes in the Sahel. Nature. 2019;574(7778):404–8.

Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

Endo N, Eltahir EA. Prevention of malaria transmission around reservoirs: an observational and modelling study on the effect of wind direction and village location. Lancet Planet Health. 2018;2(9):e406–13.

Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

Endo N, Eltahir EA. Modelling and observing the role of wind in Anopheles population dynamics around a reservoir. Malar J. 2018;17:48.

Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

Kalthof MWML, Gravey M, Wijnands F, Karssenberg D. Predicting continental scale malaria with land surface water predictors based on malaria dispersal mechanisms and high-resolution earth observation data. GeoHealth

留言 (0)

沒有登入
gif