The primary objective of this study is to examine the secular trends in blood pressure levels from 2012 to 2022 in eastern China. Additionally, to compare two standards [International Blood Pressure Reference for Children and Adolescents (ICBP) and the National Blood Pressure Reference for Chinese Han Children and Adolescents (CCBP)], we calculate the 95th percentile of blood pressure levels for students in developed regions (ECCBP). Secondly, the study aims to investigate potential contributors to elevated blood pressure, including sex, age, behaviors, and mental health. Lastly, the study seeks to estimate the total population aged 7–18 years with elevated blood pressure in Eastern China based on three references.

The data used in this study were obtained from the Student Health Surveillance program in Jiangsu Province, which has been collecting data since 2012. Trained project members, skilled nurses, and doctors measured anthropometric variables. Additionally, online student questionnaires were administered in 2017, 2019, and 2021 to collect personal information behavior patterns, and mental health.

The study examined blood pressure changes in 123 013 children and adolescents in Eastern China from 2012 to 2022. Significant increases were observed in systolic blood pressure (SBP) and pulse pressure difference. Prevalence of elevated blood pressure followed a similar trend with ECCBP and CCBP, ranging from 17.2%/16.3% (2012–2015) to 11.6%/14.6% (2020–2022). Notably, BP with ICBP showed a significant increase in both prevalence and population, from 12.6% [6 713 679, 95% confidence interval (CI): 6 708 931 to 6 718 427] to 14.5% (7 004 208, 95% CI: 6 999 411 to 7 009 004). The study further emphasizes the significant impact of various risk factors on elevated blood pressure among children and adolescents, particularly the detrimental effect of depression on blood pressure, with the odds ratios (OR) in 2021 being 1.310 (95% CI, 1.290–1.330) for ECCBP, 1.239 (95% CI, 1.223–1.255) for CCBP, and 1.189 (95% CI, 1.176–1.202) for ICBP.

The study revealed significant changes in the population and prevalence of elevated blood pressure in Eastern China from 2012 to 2022. The findings indicate a decline in the prevalence of elevated blood pressure (referred to as CCBP or ECCBP), while highlighting an increasing trend in elevated blood pressure (referred to as ICBP). Untreated high blood pressure can lead to serious cardiovascular diseases in adulthood, underscoring the importance of early prevention and management, particularly through nonpharmacological methods and regular monitoring for students in Eastern China. Raising awareness among educators, parents, and healthcare providers about the association between mental health and elevated blood pressure is essential.