Machine Learning Insights into HLA Noncoding Sequence Mismatches and Their Impact on DPB1 Matching in Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation

Abstract

Purpose: HCT is vital for treating hematological malignancies, relying on HLA matching between unrelated patient-donor pairs to significantly reduce adverse outcomes. Recent studies recognize the potential impact of HLA-DPB1 mismatches on HCT outcomes. Multiple approaches focus on finding better-tolerated HLA-DPB1 mismatches. Additionally, recent studies suggest matching at noncoding HLA sequence may improve HCT outcomes. This study aims to evaluate different approaches for categorizing DPB1 mismatches in patient-donor pairs and explore the potential impact of noncoding mismatches (available in class I HLA genes) on clinical outcomes. Methods: A retrospective study of 5,106 HCT pairs using Cox proportional hazards models, weighted by a machine learning algorithm, evaluates the impact of particular combinations of HLA-DPB1 mismatches in the context of noncoding HLA class I mismatches on outcomes of HCT. HLA-DPB1 mismatch criteria included T-cell epitope permissive/non-permissive mismatches, expression markers, and evolutionary clade mismatches. Results: Two HLA-DPB1 mismatches, using multiple criteria, lead to significant hazards of acute graft versus host disease grades 2-4, in the T cell replete group. When HLA-DPB1 mismatches occurred across evolutionary clades (DP2 allele/low-expression patient vs DP5 allele/high-expression in the donor), the deplete group showed significant hazards for treatment-related mortality (TRM) (HR=1.94, p-value=8.9x10-7) and overall survival (OS) (HR=1.67, p-value=1.3 x10-5) for additive effects of noncoding mismatches with two HLA-DPB1 mismatches. Conclusion: Two HLA-DPB1 mismatches remain to predict worse outcomes. However, noncoding mismatches in HLA class I genes confer elevated hazards of TRM and OS in conjunction with mismatches across evolutionary branches of HLA-DPB1. Therefore, noncoding mismatches may inform donor selection in the presence of HLA-DPB1 mismatches and improve HCT outcomes, emphasizing the utility of comprehensive sequencing of HLA alleles in HCT settings.

Competing Interest Statement

JLD and DSM receive royalties from Omixon Inc. All other authors have no competing interests.

Funding Statement

National Human Genome Research Institute (K01HG010498)

Author Declarations

I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.

Yes

The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:

IRB of the National Marrow Donor Program (NMDP) gave ethical approval for this work.

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Yes

I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).

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I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable.

Yes

Data Availability

All data produced in the present work are contained in the manuscript.

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