The protocol of this study has been described extensively in previous publications [7]. Briefly, this is a multicentre retrospective, observational cohort study which has involved the collection of data on (mainly hypertensive outpatients and subjects from general population with a median follow-up period of 10 years (up to 31 July 2017).
Data from participant’s centre were collected and has been included into a general database. The various cohorts included comes from Italian Centres of Hypertension, distributed in almost all the Italian regions and recognised by the Italian Society of Hypertension.
Inclusion criteria were the availability of at least one or serum UA levels determination and of complete information’s about demographics, CV risk factor (known history of arterial hypertension, diabetes mellitus, smoking habit, overweight/obesity defined through body mass index and waist circumference), previous CV events, CV drug therapies, blood pressure values, biochemical data (total and fractioned cholesterol, triglycerides and renal function estimated). From some centre also data on cardiac (Left Ventricular Hypertrophy – LVH) and renal (urinary albumin excretion) hypertension-mediated organ damage were reported.
At the end of the follow-up, the following hard endpoints (based on the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision - ICD-10) has been evaluated: all-cause mortality, CV mortality, fatal and non-fatal acute myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, fatal and non-fatal stroke and heart failure.
Depending on the aim and on the variable needed for the specific analysis total number of the subjects used could vary between the different sub-studies but, in general, the whole population is composed by 23,475 subjects that presents a mean age of 57 ± 15 years and of which 51% were males. The main characteristics of study population cohorts and the main results are summarized in Table 1.
Table 1 The URRAH project studies 2.1 Hyperuricemia and Cardiovascular DiseasesIn the URRAH study, whether SUA could be related to CV diseases has been extensively investigated with a particular interest in founding specific cut-offs. The first published work identified the cut-off most suitable for predicting total and CV mortality in the entire study population [7]. During a median follow-up time of 134 months (interquartile range 74–164), 1571 CV deaths (over 3279 all-cause death, 47.9%) were identified, and SUA significantly correlates in univariate analysis (Hazard Ratio – HR: 1.28; 95% CI 1.24–1.33, p < 0.001). In multivariable analysis with all the classic CV risk factors inserted as covariates, the associations were consistently significant; even better, the strength of the association increased (HR 2.08; 95% CI 1.46–2.97, p < 0.001).
As expected in the hypothesis of the project, a lower cut-off was founded when compared to the classic one (6 mg/dL for females and 7 mg/dL for males). From ROC curve analysis, the optimal cut point for CV mortality was 5.6 mg/dL. Furthermore, the addition of SUA values increases the predictivity of the Heart Score (Harrell’s C 0.780 vs. 0.754, p < 0.001) and correctly reclassified 40.06% of subjects without events over the Heart Score at the cost of a false negative association of 12.28%, providing a significant Net Reclassification Improvement of 0.27 (p < 0.001).
The second paper published [8] regards the possible cut-off values for fatal Myocardial Infarction (MI) prediction. 445 subjects experienced the endpoint of the present analysis with a significant association with SUA (HR: 1.381; 95% CI 1.096–1.758, p = 0.006). At ROC analysis, the best cut-off for fatal MI was 5.70 mg/dL. When gender-specific analyses were performed, the significant association was confirmed in women (HR: 0.154; 95% CI 1.105–2.075, p < 0.001) but not in men (HR 1.294, 95% CI 0.924–1.813, p = 0.1). The role of gender in the relationship between SUA and CV disease has been extensively discussed in a previous review of the URRAH study [9].
A further paper on the URRAH project focused on Heart Failure (HF) [10]. SUA was found to be a significant predictor of incident HF (HR: 1.29; 95% CI 1.23–1.359, p < 0.001) and of fatal HF (HR: 1.268; 95% CI 1.121–1.35, p < 0.001), as well. In this case, the most discriminant cut-offs for SUA were 5.34 mg/dL and 4.89 mg/dL, respectively. Our results are in accordance with other population studies and meta-analyses regarding the ability of SUA to predict HF development [11, 12]. However, published paper results are more heterogeneous when SUA is evaluated in patients with HF. In these patients, SUA could act as a detrimental factor on left ventricular function and metabolism, but the opposite could also be true, i.e. the worst peripheral tissue vascularisation could increase SUA levels. In fact, SUA could result from increased purine degradation determined by hypoxia and tissue catabolism, which also determines an increased lactate release that reduces renal UA excretion [13]. Furthermore, HF is frequently associated with kidney impairment (and again a lower SUA clearance), and an increase in xanthine oxidase activity has been found in acute decompensated HF [14].
A problem interpreting the relationship between SUA and HF is the issue related to diuretic use. Diuretic treatments (especially thiazides) are able to determine an increased urate renal reabsorption that leads to hyperuricemia development. Diuretics are quite common in hypertensive patients and represent the principal therapeutic option to reduce congestion in HF patients. These secondary effects of diuretics were considered a benign problem, but data from the URRAH study argues against this hypothesis. In a specific analysis of the URRAH database, we found that 17.2% of individuals take diuretics, of whom 58% had SUA higher than the median value (4.8 mg/dL) [15]. Subjects with hyperuricemia using diuretic seems to present a higher prevalence of death for any cause (21.9 vs. 19.0%, p < 0.001) and first CV events (11.3 vs. 8.1%, p < 0.001) when compared with subjects with hyperuricemia without diuretic use while no differences were seen regarding CV deaths (5.1 vs. 4.1%, p = 0.013). However, at multivariable analysis (covariates: age, sex, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, glycemia, total and HDL cholesterol, smoking, CV therapies and estimated glomerular filtration rate), the above-mentioned findings were not confirmed for all three evaluated outcomes.
Since the central hypothesis linking UA to CV events is the role of xanthine oxidase as a trigger for oxidative stress, diuretic-induced reduction of UA renal excretion was thought to be not related to an increase in CV events. Although this study presents some limitations, it was the first to confirm that diuretic-related hyperuricemia was associated with a significant increase in CV diseases and mortality. The two main limitations were that we could not discriminate between patients with reduced uric acid excretion and those with uric acid overproduction (in fact, the presence of hyperuricemia during diuretic use does not automatically exclude the coexistence of increased production) but also that all the types of diuretic drugs were included in the present analysis. However, the effect on SUA level is more commonly observed with thiazides. Unfortunately, data on diuretic type were available only for a fraction of patients too small for a sub-group analysis.
To complete the data on the relationship between SUA and CV events, also an analysis on stroke was done [16]. SUA was associated, at multivariable regression analysis adjusted for confounders (age, sex, arterial hypertension, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, smoking habit, ethanol intake, body mass index, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and use of diuretics) with an HR of 1.249 (95% CI 1.041–1.497, p = 0.016). A prognostic cut-off value of 4.79 mg/dL was identified as the best threshold.
Furthermore, an age-stratified survival analysis was performed in the older adults (≥ 65 years; n = 8000) of the URRAH study participants. While no independent association was found between patients older than 75 years and mortality (all-cause and CV), patients in the 65–74 year age group showed optimal discrimination using a dedicated cut-off of 4.8 mg/dL, which is valid for both All-Cause Mortality (ACM) and CV mortality (CVM): HR 1.45, (95% CI 1.23–1.68) and 1.46 (95% CI 1.20–1.79). Peculiarly, in participants older than 75, the relationship between SUA and mortality was described by J-shaped curves [17].
Two URRAH papers focused on factors that could modulate the SUA relationship with CV mortality. The first focused on heart rate and the possibility that SUA action on CV events is by sympathetic activity [18]. Heart rate is a well-known CV risk factor that directly damages the heart and the arterial wall, but it can also represent a marker of a sympathetic nervous system overdrive. At multivariable analysis, each unit increase in SUA determined an increase in the HR for CV mortality of 9.4%, while the increase was 5.3% for each heart rate unit increment. In categorical analysis, we have seen that hyperuricemia (SUA > 5.5 mg/dL) exerts a higher increase in HR for CV mortality in subjects with elevated heart rate. The HR for the relationship between SUA and CV mortality in subjects with a heart rate under the median value (71.3 bpm) was 1.38 (95% CI 1.20–1.59), while this increase to an HR of 2.09 (95% CI 1.75–2.51) in those over the median value. So, one could hypothesize that the sympathetic nervous system overactivity facilitates uric acid action on CV events.
Finally, the most recently published URRAH paper focused on the relationship of SUA with LVH and the possibility that this target organ damage modifies its relation with CV mortality [19]. In multiple regression analysis, SUA was significantly associated with Left Ventricular Mass Index in men and women (beta = 0.095 and 0.069, respectively, p < 0.001 for both analyses). Both SUA and LVH were, as expected, associated with CV death in multivariable models (hyperuricemia HR 1.751; 95% CI 1.394–2199, p = 0.001; LVH HR 2.050; 95% CI 1.576–2.668, p = 0.001). The combined presence of hyperuricemia (SUA > 5.1 mg/dL for females and > 5.6 mg/dL for males [7]) and LVH (LVMI > 95 g/m2 for females and > 115 g/m2 for males) significantly increase the HR for CV mortality when compared to those factors taken individually to a total HR of 3785 (95% CI 1.789–8.008) for women and 5.273 (95% CI 3.044–9.135) for men.
In conclusion, our data suggest that other factors could modulate the contribution of SUA to CV mortality. This is undoubtedly modulated by the presence of tachycardia and LVH, both of which increase the ability of SUA to detect CV disease.
Figure 1 resumes the results of the URRAH study in terms of the different cut-offs established for CV events while Fig. 2 summarize data on factors able to modifying that relationship.
Fig. 1Findings from the URRAH study regarding the relationship between serum uric acid and cardiovascular mortality and events. Figure from references [7, 8, 10, 16]
Fig. 2Findings from the URRAH study regarding factors able to modify the relationship between uric acid and cardiovascular events. Figure from references [15, 17, 18]
2.2 Hyperuricemia and Kidney Disease in Predicting MortalityGlomerular filtration rate (GFR) is unquestionably one of the main determinants of SUA levels, thus hyperuricemia is a typical finding in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients. Consistent evidence indicates that the relationship between hyperuricemia and CKD is bidirectional. As well a reduction in GFR can precede and lead to the development of hyperuricemia, increased SUA levels per se can adversely impact renal function [20, 21]. However, how GFR and SUA levels are related and the appropriate threshold of SUA for defining asymptomatic hyperuricemia in the contest of CKD remain unclear. The URRAH database, with its large baseline cohort and relatively long-term follow-up [22], provided an ideal opportunity to investigate this interaction between SUA levels and CKD components (eGFR and albuminuria) and their impact in determining mortality.
A recent cross-sectional analysis [23] including 26,971 individuals from the URRAH database provided new insights into these complex relationships. The study showed the more significant the severity of the CKD stage, the higher the occurrence of hyperuricemia. Prevalence of hyperuricemia defined based on previously validated URRAH cut-offs specific for CVM and ACM was 32 and 57%, respectively, and increased significantly from 20 to 33% in subjects with eGFR > 90 ml/min to 60, and 80% in CKD 3b patients. Multiple logistic regression analyses indicated that the main covariates associated with hyperuricemia defined with CVM threshold were CKD stage, male gender, history of hypertension, and triglycerides (TG) levels.
Moreover, this was the largest population study in which the relationship between SUA levels and the presence of micro and macro-albuminuria have been investigated. Hyperuricemia was more likely present in patients with albuminuria (50.5%, 54.9%, and 57.1% in patients with normoalbuminuria, microalbuminuria and macroalbuminuria, respectively, p = 0.0062). Those with albuminuria showed higher SUA levels (5.18 ± 1.40 vs. 5.45 ± 1.56, p < 0.0001), more frequent use of allopurinol and a history of gout compared to those without albuminuria. Unexpectedly, in patients with GFR below 45 ml/min, the prevalence of hyperuricemia was lower in the presence of macroalbuminuria. While this finding is unforeseen, it may be related to a higher prevalence of individuals with diabetes among these patients with more severe kidney impairment. This data could be explained by an increase in glycosuria and a greater loss of uric acid in the urine reported in patients with decompensated diabetes, resulting in decreased SUA levels [24].
Despite the known great impact of CKD components (both reduced GFR and the presence of albuminuria) on CV and mortality risk [25, 26], the interplay between SUA, GFR and albuminuria in causing mortality and the independent role of each one of these conditions on CV and mortality risk is a matter of research. The URRAH Study Group [27] tried to answer these questions with a longitudinal study. The cohort was composed of 21,963 patients who were followed for 9.8 years. A ROC curve analysis yielded plausible GFR stage-specific cut-off values of SUA for CVM (cut-off points of SUA = 4.1, 5.8 and 6.9 mg/dL in subjects with GFR > 90, 60–90 and < 60 ml/min/m2, respectively), and for ACM (cut-off points of SUA = 5.1, 4.8 and 6.8 mg/dL in subjects with GFR > 90, 60–90 and < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2, respectively). Results of interaction effect regression analysis indicated that SUA and GFR interplay in determining mortality. More interestingly, it was described for the first time as the independent predictive power of SUA tends to decrease along with the severity of renal impairment. This study concluded that high SUA levels are a risk factor for CV and all-cause mortality independently and additively to reduced GFR and the presence of albuminuria in patients at cardiovascular risk (Fig. 3).
Fig. 3Hyperuricemia is a risk factor for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality independently and additively to reduced GFR and the presence of albuminuria. A Albuminuria, eGFR estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate, HU HyperUricemia
Altogether, these data suggest that in the context of greater global risk, as is the case when GFR is even slightly reduced, SUA becomes a significant correlate of unfavourable outcome only at serum concentration greater than what is observed in subjects with normal renal function. From a pathophysiological point of view, these data sustain the hypothesis that while hyperuricemia may result from reduced kidney clearance, uric acid perpetuates renal injury, leading to a progressive vicious cycle of CKD progression and after that to an increased CV and mortality risk. Several pathogenetic mechanisms explaining uric acid-mediated kidney and vascular damage have been hypothesized, including inflammation with cytokine release and oxidative stress [28], promotion of endothelial, vascular [29], and interstitial damage, upregulation of the renin–angiotensin aldosterone system, and changes in glomerular hemodynamics leading to glomerulosclerosis and fibrosis [30].
The findings of specific SUA levels predicting mortality in different CKD strata could also explain the relatively conflicting data previously reported in the literature on the relationship between hyperuricemia and unfavourable outcomes in the presence of CKD at different stages [31]. In fact, renal function may have acted as a confounder in the relationship between hyperuricemia and CV risk when data were analyzed in aggregate without adjusting for GFR values.
Because SUA is so strongly dependent on renal function, the URRAH Study Group determined the prognostic cut-off values for the ratio between SUAmg/dl and serum creatinine (sCrmg/dl), assessing sCr as an adequate indicator of the kidney function (the addiction of GFR to the Cox models did not change the results significantly) [32]. This study identified a SUA/sCr cut-off predictive of CV risk for the first time. The SUA/sCr cut-off of 5.35, by indexing for renal function, proved to be a functional tool for identifying those patients with the highest risk of developing CV events during follow-up, with no significant differences between men and women. Therefore, this a-dimensional, purely numerical variable was proposed as a novel element that can be treated in the epidemiological field as a new variable for screening individuals at increased risk.
In summary, there is consistent evidence from URRAH data that SUA levels and CKD stages are closely related. For this reason, there is a need for a specific cut-off defining asymptomatic hyperuricemia in the presence of CKD. In particular, the proposal derived from the URRAH Project is to use a cut-off of SUA > 7.0 mg/dl for patients with CKD 3 or a cut-off of SUA adjusted for creatinine of 5.35. The second major point emerging from these studies is the independent and additive role of each condition (hyperuricemia, GFR reduction and albuminuria) in increasing mortality risk. This suggests that despite CKD being a major determinant of the presence and degree of hyperuricemia, these two conditions may have, at least in part, different pathogenetic mechanisms by which they both contribute to the excess of CV morbidity and mortality. Nevertheless, further translational research is needed.
2.3 Serum Uric Acid in the Context of Metabolic DysregulationThe definition of a high-risk CV phenotype cannot ignore the individual metabolic profile. Impaired metabolic homeostasis defines ageing and cardiometabolic diseases such as dyslipidemia, obesity, type 2 diabetes (T2D) and arterial hypertension and drives CV risk. Moreover, it is involved in a deleterious interplay with other actors of detrimental CV evolution [33]. Uric acid is not exempt from this harmful connection, as it has a double-edged relationship with metabolic disorders. Elevated SUA is a common finding in metabolic diseases [34], and pathophysiological and clinical evidence supports a potential interaction between SUA, glucose and lipid metabolism [35, 36]. Hyperglycaemia and altered levels of circulating lipoproteins have common molecular pathways of damage that are also shared with SUA. One of these is the activation of the NLRP3-inflammasome [33], which leads to the persistent low-grade systemic inflammatory response that is a hallmark of cardiometabolic disease [37]. The pro-oxidant activity that SUA acquires at higher concentrations can further disrupt the homeostatic balance, altering HDL metabolism and function [38]. Given the dramatic importance that metabolic diseases are gaining in the global health landscape [39], the URRAH study investigated, in metabolic subgroups among URRAH study participants, the relationship between uric acid and cardiometabolic diseases from a clinical perspective [40,41,42,43] (Fig. 4).
Fig. 4Findings from the URRAH study regarding the relationship of uric acid with diabetes and dyslipidemia. Figure from references [40,41,42,43]. MetS Metabolic syndrome, HDL High Density Lipoprotein, hyperTG hypertriglyceridemia
In another study in URRAH patients with diabetes (n = 2,570), the established thresholds of SUA identified for ACM (SUA ≥ 4.7 mg/dL) and CV mortality (SUA ≥ 5.6 mg/dL) [7] confirmed their predictive power [40]: HR 1.23, (95% CI 1.04–1.47) and 1.31 (95% CI, 1.03–1.66), respectively. Similar results were seen in a subpopulation (n = 8124) with different degrees of cardiometabolic damage (patients with obesity, arterial hypertension, T2D, either alone or combined) but without established cardiovascular disease (subjects with previous CV events, history of heart failure, systolic/diastolic blood pressure > 240/149 mmHg, fasting blood glucose > 350 mg/dl, or serum creatinine > 4 mg/dL were excluded). A total of 8,124 patients were included in the final analysis : HR 1.25, (95% CI 1.12–1.40) for ACM and 1.31 (95% CI 1.11–1.74) for CV mortality [42]. The association with CV mortality was also examined in a sub-cohort of patients selected based on the data availability for the metabolic syndrome (MS) parameters (n = 9589; n = 5100 met MS criteria), confirming that SUA ≥ 5.6 mg/dL was strongly associated with CV death: HR 1.79 (95% CI 1.15–2.79). In this context, it was also verified how including sex-specific SUA cut-offs in the MS definition improved CV mortality reclassification in patients with and without MS (net reclassification improvement of 7.1%) [43].
The URRAH study group also investigated the relationship between the different parameters of the metabolic profile and the clinical relevance of their interplay. SUA was found to be inversely correlated with HDL (r = −0.206) [41], with plasma glucose in patients with diabetes (r = −0.09) [40], and positively correlated with TG in patients without established CV disease (r = 0.332) [42] In female patients with high HDL (> 80 mg/dL), a specific SUA cut-off (4.96 mg/dL) was able to identify a higher mortality risk (HR 1.61; 95% CI 1.08–2.39). Notably, the inclusion of the BMI in the model reduced the strength of the association (HR 1.51; 95% CI, 1.00–2.27) [41]. Concerning TG and using the acknowledged SUA cut-offs [7], the interaction with SUA was significant regarding ACM and CV mortality, and no gender-specific effect was observed [42]. Although with the limitation of reduced sample size due to further stratification into distinct disease subgroups, an exploratory analysis supports the predictive power of SUA since the initial cardiometabolic derangement [
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