The Effects of Expectations and Worries on the Experience of COVID-19 Symptoms

Abstract

Introduction: The COVID-19 pandemic has been shown to have profound effects on both mental and physical health. Distress and widespread uncertainty about global events and personal risk are associated with increased worry and negative expectations that impact physical health. Thus, the current pandemic poses a possibility for the experience of nocebo effects. Objective: To evaluate the likelihood of nocebo-induced COVID-19 symptoms in a US sample. Methods: An online study on the mental health impact of COVID-19 asked participants to complete a set of biweekly surveys over a 6-month period between April 2020 and May 2021. We focus on responses from 3,027 individuals who reported never testing positive for COVID-19. We assessed the association between two types of worry and self-reported symptoms of COVID-19. We used multi-level models to examine variations across and within participants over time. We further investigated the effects of pre-existing health conditions and mental health status. Results: There was a positive association between symptoms and both general (b= 2.56, p<0.01) and personal worry (b=2.77, p<0.01). However, worry reported at one timepoint was not specifically associated with symptoms reported two weeks later (p = 0.63, p=0.56). We also found that a greater number of prior clinical comorbidities and greater mental health burden were significant predictors of symptom reporting. Conclusions: These results suggest that increased worries during the COVID-19 pandemic were associated with greater symptoms. Further studies investigating worry and symptoms in populations with confirmed negative COVID-19 tests or isolated populations will be needed to isolate the occurrence of true nocebo effects during the pandemic.

Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

Funding Statement

This study was funded by NIMH (ZIAMH002922); NCCIH (ZIAAT000030

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The Institutional Review Board of the National Institutes of Health gave ethical approval for this work.

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Data Availability

All data produced will be made available online through the NIMH Data Archives. Prior to that, data may be made available upon reasonable request to the authors.

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