Clinical Biomarker-Based Biological Aging and the Risk of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm: A Prospective Cohort Study

Abstract

Background: Compared to chronological age, biological age (BA), a concept introduced in recent years, more accurately reflects the true aging status of the body. While biological aging has been found to be associated with various cardiovascular diseases, its relationship with abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) remains unclear. Methods: This study utilized data extracted from UK Biobank for analysis. Telomere length (TL), and BA acceleration calculated using the Klemera-Doubal (KDM) and PhenoAge methods, were employed as surrogate measures to assess biological aging. Cox regression was primarily performed to explore the association between biological aging and AAA risk. Genetic susceptibility was assessed by constructing a polygenic risk score (PRS). Results: This study included 311,646 participants, predominantly women and White, with a median age of 58 years. During a median follow-up of 12.54 years, 1,339 new cases of AAA (4.3‰) were reported. Each standard deviation (SD) decrease in TL was associated with a 20% increased risk of AAA (HR=1.20, 95% CI=1.14-1.27); each SD increase in KDM-BA acceleration was associated with a 21% increased risk (HR=1.21, 95% CI=1.12-1.29); and each SD increase in PhenoAge acceleration was associated with a 40% increased risk (HR=1.40, 95% CI=1.32-1.48). These associations were independent of genetic risk, as assessed by the PRS, and demonstrated a joint effect with genetic predisposition on the long-term risk of AAA. Conclusion: Accelerated biological aging was longitudinally associated with an increased risk of AAA, suggesting it may be a significant factor and potential biomarker for the occurrence of the condition.

Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

Funding Statement

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 82470054 and 82300081), the Hunan Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 2023JJ40963, 2024JJ6620, and 2024JJ6673), and the Project Program of the National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Disorders (Xiangya Hospital, Grant No. 2023LNJJ18).

Author Declarations

I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.

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The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:

This study was approved by the North West Multi-Centre Research Ethics Committee (Reference: 11/NW/0382). All participants provided written informed consent prior to participation.

I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals.

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I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).

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I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable.

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Data Availability

The data supporting the findings of this study were obtained from the UK Biobank Resource under Application No. 107175. These data can be accessed by submitting an application through the UK Biobank official website (www.ukbiobank.ac.uk).

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