The association between outdoor ambient temperature and depression and mania: an ecological momentary assessment study

Abstract

Background Environmental heat exposure can negatively impact mental health. Evidence for its effect on mood disorder symptoms is inconsistent. Current studies are limited by poor temporal and geographical resolution. Methods We used ecological momentary assessment (EMA) data from the smartphone app juli to investigate the association between real-time mean and maximum ambient temperature collected from smartphone geolocation, and depressive and manic symptom scales, every two weeks, in adults with depression and bipolar disorder. We used negative binomial mixed-effects regression models, controlled for demographic and weather variables, and stratified by season. Results We analysed data from 4,000 participants with depressive symptom scores and 2,132 with manic symptom scores, between 2021 and 2023. We found that each 1°C increase in mean daily temperature in the preceding two weeks was associated with a 0.2% reduction in depressive symptom scores (coeff 0.998, 95%CI 0.997-0.999) and a 0.4% increase in manic symptom scores (coeff 1.004, 95%CI 1.001-1.007). Associations between maximum temperature and symptom scores followed a similar pattern. Limitations We were unable to capture several socio-demographic covariates, had limited geographical information due to privacy regulations, and included a non-random sample. Conclusions We found evidence that higher temperatures were associated with increased manic symptoms and decreased depressive symptoms, indicating an important relationship between temperature and the mood disorder continuum. With global heating, there is a need to understand the impact of temperature on mood symptoms, to provide targeted clinical prevention and support. This study demonstrates potential for EMA methods to inform our understanding of these links.

Competing Interest Statement

JFH and AK have received consultancy fees from the Wellcome Trust and juli Health. JFH is a co-founder of juli Health. AK is employed by Zinc VC.

Clinical Protocols

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Funding Statement

PC is supported by the National Institute for Health Research Academic Clinical Fellowship. JD, DPJO, and JFH are supported by the National Institute for Health Research, University College London Hospital, Biomedical Research Centre. JFH and DPJO are supported by NIHR North Thames Applied Research Collaboration. JD is supported by the National Institute of Health Research (grant number NIHR302266). JFH is supported by the UK Research and Innovation grant MR/V023373/1. JFH and AK have received consultancy fees from the Wellcome Trust and juli Health. JFH is a co-founder of juli Health. AK is employed by Zinc VC. NL is supported by UK Research and Innovation grants MR/V023373/1 and MR/W014386/1, the University College London Hospitals NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, and the NIHR North Thames Applied Research Collaboration. RT is supported by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) School for Public Health Research (SPHR) (Grant Reference Number NIHR 204000) The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NIHR or the Department of Health and Social Care. ELL is a grateful recipient of financial support from Lenore England.

Author Declarations

I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.

Yes

The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:

Research Ethics committee of University College London gave ethical approval for this work (ID 19413/002).

I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals.

Yes

I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).

Yes

I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable.

Yes

Data Availability

An anonymised dataset is available from juli Health, given appropriate permissions.

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