Determinants of early chronic kidney disease in patients with recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus: a retrospective study from the Taiwan Diabetes Registry

In this study, we observed that approximately 30.3% of patients diagnosed with recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus also exhibited CKD, with the majority (92%) being in the early stages of the disease. Age, SBP, HbA1c and triglyceride levels were associated with the presence of early CKD in recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus patients. We also identified several clinical variables, including body weight, SBP, fasting glucose, and UACR, that exhibited significant associations with eGFR. Furthermore, we found that SBP, fasting blood glucose, log triglyceride level, and eGFR were significantly associated with UACR in this cohort. Notably, our findings also indicated a mutual influence between eGFR and UACR.

The association between type 2 diabetes mellitus and DKD has been extensively discussed in numerous studies. Various factors have been identified to be associated with CKD. In a German study, a comparison was made between type 2 diabetes mellitus patients with or without CKD using large databases [16]. The study specifically focused on type 2 diabetes mellitus patients with an eGFR less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or those with an eGFR greater than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 but with albuminuria (UACR > 30 mg/g). The study’s findings revealed that type 2 diabetes mellitus patients with CKD were older, had a longer duration of type 2 diabetes mellitus, had a higher incidence of higher triglyceride levels, and were more likely to be female. Furthermore, a significantly higher level of HbA1c and blood pressure were observed in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients with CKD. These results were similar to our study, except that we did not find a higher percentage of female patients in the CKD group, and our study only included patients recently diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Another cross-sectional study also identified old age and an HbA1c level greater than 7% as significant risk factors for the development of advanced CKD (eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus [17]. In contrast to our study, we specifically focused on recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus patients with early-stage CKD. Regardless of the stage of CKD, old age and higher HbA1c levels were both significant risk factors for the development of CKD in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients.

Consistent with prior literature, SBP exhibited a negative correlation with eGFR [18, 19]. Additionally we found that fasting blood glucose was positively associated with eGFR, which is in line with previous study [20]. The positive association indicates higher fasting blood glucose may reflect kidney hyperfiltration, even though there’s no significant association between eGFR and HbA1c in our study. We additionally conducted a subgroup analysis focusing on patients with CKD stage G3a. The results revealed no significant association between fasting blood glucose and eGFR under univariate linear regression (Table S1). There’s study demonstrated the same trend that HbA1c had positive association with eGFR in patients with early CKD. However, when the disease progresses to CKD stage 3 or 4, the association between HbA1c and eGFR becomes negative [21]. Proper glycemic control remains crucial in slowing the decline of eGFR and improving renal function. Our findings regarding the association between body weight and eGFR differ from the previous study that reposted an association between higher BMI and worsened eGFR [22]. However, it is worth noting that conflicting results exist in the literature. Another study conducted by the Hong Kong Diabetes Registry revealed a negative correlation between CKD and BMI [23]. One hypothesis suggests that CKD may lead to malnutrition and sarcopenia, which could contribute to lower BMI. Due to the conflicting results, the role of body weight or BMI in predicting CKD in patients with recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus remains uncertain. Further research is requiring to better understand the impact of body weight on CKD in this population.

In this study, our findings are consistent with previous studies that have shown a positive association between SBP and fasting glucose levels with UACR [18, 19, 24]. Interestingly, we found that triglyceride levels were also positively associated with UACR, which has also been reported in previous research [25]. The underlying pathophysiological mechanism for this association is still unclear. However, it has been suggested that elevated triglyceride levels may impact the glomerulus and lead to glomerular injury.

This study also demonstrated that eGFR and UACR mutually influenced each other. Previous studies have shown that lower albuminuria is associated with CKD regression [26], and reduced eGFR may be associated with albuminuria [27]. Additionally, other studies have reported that albuminuria and declining eGFR are both predictors of worsened cardiovascular or renal outcomes [28, 29]. Just like a vicious cycle, albuminuria can lead to declining eGFR, and reduced eGFR can also result in more albuminuria. Therefore, early intervention to prevent the worsening of eGFR and albuminuria is important in patients with DKD.

This study focused on individuals with early CKD, specifically those in KDIGO CKD stage \( \le \)G3a. Previous research has shown that all-cause mortality increases from 1.1 per 100 person-years in CKD stage G3a to 4.8 per 100 person-years in CKD stage G3b [30]. Hence, identifying the early CKD population is crucial, and early intervention may improve outcomes.

Patients with DKD are at an increased risk of other diabetic complications, such as hypoglycemia, ketoacidosis, retinopathy, neuropathy, and cardiovascular events [8]. Given the potential impact of DKD on patient health, multidisciplinary and comprehensive care should be offered to patients with DKD to prevent further progression of the disease. Lifestyle modifications such as smoking cessation and avoiding nephrotoxic agents should be emphasized, along with secondary prevention of cardiovascular events through the use of aspirin and statins. Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists have emerged as the drugs of choice for patients with DKD due to their proven benefits beyond glycemic control. In addition, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors /angiotensin II receptor blockers should be used as first-line therapy for blood pressure control in DKD patients, unless contraindicated [8, 31].

The strength of this study lies in its use of a nationwide, multicenter diabetes registry cohort and the analysis of a large number of cases. Furthermore, the study focused on a group with early CKD, an area that has been sparsely investigated. The study also highlighted the possible risk factors for developing early CKD in type 2 diabetes mellitus diagnosed within one year and demonstrated the mutual influence between eGFR and albuminuria. However, there are also some limitations to the study. First, as it is a cross-sectional analysis, the causal relationship between the variables cannot be ascertained. Further research with longitudinal designs and broader patient populations is warranted to better understand the dynamic relationship between type 2 diabetes mellitus, CKD, eGFR, and UACR. Second, the inclusion of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus diagnosed within one year may limit the generalizability to those with longer disease duration. Third, as the data was obtained from a single time-point in a registry, we cannot ascertain whether the low eGFR values were chronic or transient. Fourth, our study did not analyze lifestyle factors, which may also play a role in the development of early CKD. Finally, the R-squared value of the linear regression was small in this study. We believe that there may be additional factors beyond type 2 diabetes mellitus that could influence eGFR and UACR in the development of early CKD, which we were unable to identify in the current database. Further research in this regard could be considered. However, despite the small R-squared value, the p-values for the linear regressions are significant, indicating an association between the variables, eGFR, and UACR.

In conclusion, this study provides valuable insights of CKD in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus diagnosed within one years, particularly in the early stages. The results of our study suggest that several factors are associated with an increased risk of developing early CKD in recently diagnosed patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Specifically, older age, higher levels of HbA1c, and elevated triglyceride levels were found to be significant risk factors. Besides, body weight, SBP, and fasting blood glucose are modifiable clinical variables that are closely associated with eGFR. Additionally, other factors such as SBP, fasting blood glucose, and triglyceride levels are associated with UACR. Furthermore, the findings indicate a mutual influence between UACR and eGFR. The study underscores the importance of managing modifiable factors in slowing the progression of CKD in patients with recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus. Further research is needed to evaluate the effects of such management strategies.

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