Provider Density and Systemic Contributors to Rural Cardiovascular Disease Mortality in New England

Abstract

Introduction: Rural disparities in cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related mortality may be compounded by limited access to primary care and specialist providers. This study sought to quantify the relationship between CVD-related mortality and the availability of providers in rural and non-rural areas of New England, with consideration of systemic socioeconomic factors. Methods: Thirty-day mortality rates for inpatient heart failure (HF) and heart attacks (HA) at 182 hospitals in the New England region from July 1, 2019, to June 30, 2022, were analyzed using data from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. Provider density was derived from the Area Health Resource Database. Differences in mortality rates and provider densities between rural and non-rural areas were assessed using ANOVA models. General linear models were employed to explore the relationships between provider density and mortality outcomes, both with and without adjustments for socioeconomic confounders such as median income, median age, poverty, educational attainment, and racial demographics. Results: Rural counties had a significantly lower density of cardiologists than non-rural counties (B = -0.612, p < .001) which persisted when socioeconomic confounders were included in the model (B = 0.418, p = 0.023). A similar effect was not observed for primary care provider (PCP) density. Rural hospitals also exhibited significantly higher 30-day HF mortality rates compared to non-rural hospitals (B = 1.671, p < .001), yet this disparity diminished when structural factors were included in the model (B = 0.161, p = .692). No significant difference in HA mortality rates was observed between rural and non-rural hospitals (B = -0.52, p = .897). Cardiologist density was significantly associated with HF mortality in unadjusted models (B = -0.634, p < .001), but its effect weakened after controlling for confounders (B = -0.298, p = .100). Relationships between PCP density and HA mortality were not significant. Conclusion: Rural disparities in heart failure mortality in New England persist, likely due in part to insufficient access to cardiologists to provide appropriate long-term care for chronic cardiovascular conditions. There exists a complex intersection between socioeconomic gradients and rurality, underscoring the importance of addressing structural inequities to reduce rural-urban health disparities. Furthermore, greater emphasis needs to be placed on workforce innovations in the recruitment, retention, distribution, and support of rural specialist physicians.

Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

Funding Statement

This study did not receive any funding

Author Declarations

I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.

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Yes

I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).

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I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable.

Yes

Data Availability

All data produced in the present study are available upon reasonable request to the authors

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