Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly applied to clinical trial risk assessment, aiming to improve safety and efficiency. This scoping review analyzes 142 studies published between 2013 and 2024, focusing on safety (n=55), efficacy (n=46), and operational (n=45) risk prediction. AI techniques, including traditional machine learning, deep learning (e.g., graph neural networks, transformers), and causal machine learning, are used for tasks like adverse drug event prediction, treatment effect estimation, and phase transition prediction. These methods utilize diverse data sources, from molecular structures and clinical trial protocols to patient data and scientific publications. Recently, large language models (LLMs) have seen a surge in applications, representing over 20% of studies in 2023. While some models achieve high performance (AUROC up to 96%), challenges remain, including selection bias, limited prospective studies, and data quality issues. Despite these limitations, AI-based risk assessment holds substantial promise for transforming clinical trials, particularly through improved risk-based monitoring frameworks.
Competing Interest StatementThe authors have declared no competing interest.
Funding StatementThis study did not receive any funding.
Author DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.
Yes
I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals.
Yes
I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).
Yes
I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable.
Yes
Data AvailabilityThe data underlying this article can be shared on reasonable request to the corresponding author.
留言 (0)