Social isolation and mortality risk in late-stage older Japanese: A longitudinal study of community-dwelling residents from 2020 to 2024

Abstract

Social isolation presents a high risk for mortality. Evidence is limited, however, for older adults, especially in Japan, a country whose life expectancy at birth is the longest in the world. This retrospective longitudinal study included homebound Japanese citizens aged ≥75 years who underwent voluntary checkups conducted by Zentsuji City, Kagawa Prefecture, Japan from 2000 to 2024. The relationship between social isolation and mortality was assessed using the Cox proportional hazards model. Social isolation was defined as having no regular contact with family or friends, and survival information was confirmed by the city's database as of 1 July, 2024. Of the 3,366 participants (male: 42.4%), 3,024 (male: 42.6%) remained in the final cohort. At study entry, socially isolated participants tended to be older and have fewer exercising habits, worse self-rated health status, worse life satisfaction, and no family members in the same household with them. The mean follow-up time was 2.47 years, during which 9.1% of the participants died. Mortality risk was 2.37 times higher (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.61–3.48) for socially isolated individuals than for those who were not socially isolated, after controlling for covariates such as physical status, self-rated health, lifestyle, life satisfaction, and sharing a household with family members. The results showed a consistent trend, even after excluding participants with short follow-up periods. Consequently, when evaluating mortality risks for older adults, it is important to consider whether they are socially isolated.

Competing Interest Statement

Yukari Okawa is an employee of Zentsuji City.

Funding Statement

This study received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.

Author Declarations

I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.

Yes

The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:

The Ethics Committee of Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences and Okayama University Hospital approved this study (No. K1708-040).

I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals.

Yes

I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).

Yes

I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable.

Yes

Data Availability

All data generated or analyzed during this study are available within the main text of the published article and its supplementary information files.

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