Vaccination coverage trends in European Union from 1980 to 2020: A joinpoint Regression Analysis

Abstract

Vaccination coverage trends across European Union (EU) countries have shown concerning variations in recent years. This study aims to analyze vaccination coverage trends for seven key vaccinations across all EU member states from 1980 to 2020. Data from the WHO/UNICEF Estimates of National Immunization Coverage (WUENIC) dataset were analyzed using joinpoint regression models to identify significant changes in vaccination coverage trends. Seven vaccination indicators were examined: DTP-3, HEPB-3, HIB-3, MCV-1, PCV-3, POL-3, and RCV-1. Trends were categorized as positive or negative and significant or not significant, based on Annual Percent Change (APC) calculations. Analysis of 180 joinpoint regressions revealed a predominantly downward trend in vaccination coverage across the EU. 51.7% showed negative performance, while only 37.8% showed positive performance. Only 8 countries (29.6%) demonstrated increased coverage in at least four indicators, while 14 countries (51.8%) showed reduced coverage. The study reveals a concerning decline in vaccination coverage across most EU countries. The findings suggest that mandatory vaccination policies may contribute to maintaining higher coverage rates, though multiple factors influence vaccination uptake, including political, social, and educational determinants.

Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

Funding Statement

no funding received

Author Declarations

I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.

Yes

The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:

WHO/UNICEF Estimates of National Immunization Coverage (WUENIC) , https://www.who.int/teams/immunization-vaccines-and-biologicals/immunization-analysis-and-insights/global-monitoring/immunization-coverage/who-unicef-estimates-of-national-immunization-coverage

I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals.

Yes

I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).

Yes

I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable.

Yes

留言 (0)

沒有登入
gif