Extracting the Sample Size From Randomized Controlled Trials in Explainable Fashion Using Natural Language Processing

Abstract

Background Extracting the sample size from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) remains a challenge to developing better search functionalities or automating systematic reviews. Most current approaches rely on the sample size being explicitly mentioned in the abstract.

Methods 847 RCTs from high-impact medical journals were tagged with six different entities that could indicate the sample size. A named entity recognition (NER) model was trained to extract the entities and then deployed on a test set of 150 RCTs. The entities’ performance in predicting the actual number of trial participants who were randomized was assessed and possible combinations of the entities were evaluated to create predictive models.

Results The most accurate model could make predictions for 64.7% of trials in the test set, and the resulting predictions were within 10% of the ground truth in 96.9% of cases. A less strict model could make a prediction for 96.0% of trials, and its predictions were within 10% of the ground truth in 88.2% of cases.

Conclusion Training a named entity recognition model to predict the sample size from randomized controlled trials is feasible, not only if the sample size is explicitly mentioned but also if the sample size can be calculated, e.g., by adding up the number of patients in each arm.

Competing Interest Statement

P.W. has a patent application titled "Method for detection of neurological abnormalities" outside of the submitted work. The remaining authors declare no conflict of interest.

Funding Statement

No funding was received for this project.

Author Declarations

I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.

Yes

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Yes

I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).

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Yes

Footnotes

Ethics approval and consent to participate: Not applicable

Availability of data and materials: All data and code used to obtain this study’s results have been uploaded to https://github.com/windisch-paul/sample_size_extraction.

Competing interests: P.W. has a patent application titled ‘Method for detection of neurological abnormalities’ outside of the submitted work. The remaining authors declare no conflict of interest.

Funding: No funding was received for this project.

All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

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