Deep continual multitask severity assessment from changing clinical features

Abstract

When developing Machine Learning models to support emergency medical triage, it is important to consider how changes over time in the data distribution can negatively affect the models' performance. The objective of this study was to assess the effectiveness of various Continual Learning pipelines in keeping model performance stable when input features are subject to change over time, including the emergence of new features and the disappearance of existing ones. The model is designed to identify life-threatening situations, calculate its admissible response delay, and determine its institution jurisdiction. We analyzed a total of 1 414 575 events spanning from 2009 to 2019. Our findings demonstrate important performance improvements, up to 7.8% in life-threatening and 14.8% in response delay, in terms of F1-score, when employing deep continual approaches. We noticed that combining fine-tuning and dynamic feature domain updating strategies offers a practical and effective solution for addressing these distributional drifts in medical emergency data.

Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

Funding Statement

This work has received support from the Ministry of Science, Innovation, and Universities of Spain through the FPU18/06441 program and the KINEMAI project (PID2022-138636OA-I00).

Author Declarations

I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.

Yes

The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:

Data use was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the Health Services Department of the Valencian Region (Conselleria de Sanitat de la Generalitat Valenciana).

I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals.

Yes

I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).

Yes

I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable.

Yes

Data Availability

The data produced in the present work regarding to the performance of the compared strategies is included within the manuscript (figures and tables).

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