Identifying potential effects of relative age in school year: an instrumental variable phenome-wide association study in the UK Biobank

Abstract

Background: Observational research shows that a child's relative age within their school year ('relative age') is associated with educational attainment and mental health. However, previous studies have only examined a small number of outcomes and evidence of the persistence of effects into adulthood is mixed. We conducted a hypothesis-free investigation of the effects of relative age. Method: We used a regression discontinuity design and an instrumental variable (IV)-pheWAS in the UK Biobank (participants aged 40-69 years at baseline), using the PHESANT software package. We created two IVs for relative age: being born in September vs. August (n=64 075) and week of birth (n=383 309). Outcomes passing the Bonferroni-corrected P value threshold for either instrument were plotted to identify those displaying a discontinuity at the school year transition. Results: We found 21 traits associated with at least one of the instruments (P value below the Bonferroni threshold). Of these, 13 showed a discontinuity at the school year transition. These included previously identified effects including those with a younger relative age being less likely to have educational qualifications and more likely to have started smoking at an earlier age. We also identified a novel potential effect of a younger relative age in school year causing a better lung function as adults. Conclusion: Educational policy should address educational inequality due to relative age. Further research should seek to replicate our identified effect on lung function in different populations, and investigate the mechanisms through which this effect may act.

Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

Funding Statement

This research was funded in whole, or in part, by the Wellcome Trust [grant number 226909/Z/23/Z]. For the purpose of open access, the author has applied a CC BY public copyright licence to any Author Accepted Manuscript version arising from this submission. M.A.dL is funded by the Wellcome Trust [grant number 226909/Z/23/Z]. M.A.dL, K.T. and L.M. work in a unit that receives support from the University of Bristol and the UK Medical Research Council [grant numbers MC_UU_00011/1, MC/UU/00011/3]. N.M.D is supported by the Norwegian Research Council [grant number 295989].

Author Declarations

I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.

Yes

The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:

UK Biobank is approved by the National Health Service National Research Ethics Service (ref. 11/NW/0382; UK Biobank application number 16729).

I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals.

Yes

I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).

Yes

I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable.

Yes

Data Availability

The UK Biobank dataset used to conduct the research in this paper is available via application directly to the UK Biobank. Applications are assessed for meeting the required criteria for access, including legal and ethics standards. More information regarding data access can be found at [https://www.ukbiobank.ac.uk/enable-your-research].

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