The efficacy and effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines around the world: a mini-review and meta-analysis

Since the emergence of COVID-19, the effort to develop effective vaccines against the infection has been started. Due to the highly contagious nature of the virus, vaccination has been considered a significant measure in the fight against COVID-19. World Health Organization (WHO) allows countries to issue emergency use authorizations for COVID-19 vaccines in line with their national regulations and legislation. Domestic emergency use authorizations are issued at the countries’ discretion and are not subject to WHO approval. Up to now, several vaccines have been developed and marketed to limit the spread of COVID-19 infection. As of January 12, 2022, several COVID 19 vaccines have been given Emergency Use Listing (EUL), including those developed by Pfizer/BioNTech, AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, Moderna, Sinopharm, Sinovac, Bharat Biotech, etc. [29].

Despite the significant role of COVID-19 vaccination in confining the infection, vaccines’ Efficacy and Effectiveness have not yet been comprehensively discussed. The present study meticulously looked into the Efficacy and Effectiveness of several vaccines.

Our analysis revealed that the overall effectiveness of the studied vaccines after the first dose is significantly less than their effectiveness after the second dose. The first dose’s effectiveness was evaluated in 17 studies. After the first dose, Moderna, AstraZeneca, and Pfizer’s Effectiveness was 74%, 69%, and 67%, respectively. The Effectiveness of Moderna after the first dose was higher than other types of studied vaccines. Second dose Effectiveness was evaluated in 17 studies. After the second dose of Moderna, AstraZeneca, and Pfizer vaccination, the effectiveness was 93%, 89%, and 90, respectively. Moderna provided higher effectiveness after the second dose among other studied vaccines. Therefore, administering the second dose should produce a more reliable response and higher effectiveness than a single dose.

Surprisingly, the overall efficacy of the first dose was significantly more than the second dose; 81% (95% CI 0.70, 0.91) for the first dose compared to 71% (95% CI 0.62, 0.79) for the second dose. This can be explained by the fact that the efficacy after the first dose was evaluated only in 8 studies that assessed only AstraZeneca and Pfizer vaccines. No data was available regarding the efficacy after the first dose of Moderna, Bharat, and Johnson & Johnson vaccines. We observed that the first dose Efficacy of the Pfizer vaccine is significantly more than the AstraZeneca vaccine. The Efficacy for AstraZeneca and Pfizer after the first dose vaccination was 78% and 84%, respectively. Concerning the second dose Efficacy, the published data were available only for AstraZeneca, Pfizer, and Bharat. In Total, eighteen studies evaluated the efficacy of these vaccines after the second dose. The Efficacy for AstraZeneca, Pfizer, and Bharat was 67%, 93%, and 71%, respectively.

We also investigated the Efficacy and Effectiveness of the first and second-dose vaccination against the COVID-19 virus variants. The overall efficacy of vaccination against the Alfa variant after the first dose was 84%, which was more than other variants. The highest efficacy after the second dose vaccination was also observed for the Alpha variant (77%). The first dose’s effectiveness against the Gamma variant was the highest (74%). Although, the overall first dose effectiveness was 82%. The highest second dose Effectiveness was against the Beta variant (96%), and the overall effectiveness after the second vaccination dose was 96% against all variants.

Up to now, there are other meta-analyses published on the efficacy and effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccines. For example, in the meta-analysis reported by Pormohammad et., al, the efficacy of mRNA-based and adenovirus-vectored COVID-19 vaccines in phase II/III randomized clinical trial has been reported as 94.6% (95% CI 0.936–0.954) and 80.2% (95% CI 0.56–0.93), respectively. Additionally, the mRNA-based vaccines showed the highest reported side effects except for diarrhea and arthralgia [30]. However, the research had not reported the efficacy against different variants of the COVID-19 virus. Moreover, the Efficacy and Effectiveness of individual vaccines have not been mentioned; the vaccine Efficacy has been reported based on the vaccine classes. Another meta-analysis reported that the effectiveness of the Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines was 91.2% and 98.1%, respectively, while the effectiveness of the CoronaVac vaccine was 65.7% in fully vaccinated individuals [31]. However, this study has not reported the effectiveness of the vaccines against COVID-19 variants or their efficacy.

Additionally, A previously reported network meta-analysis of various COVID-19 vaccines found Moderna was the most effective vaccine against COVID-19 infection, with an efficacy rate of 88%, followed by Sinopharm and Bharat. The least effective vaccines were Coronavac, Curevac, and AstraZeneca. The mRNA-based vaccines were superior in preventing infection and symptomatic infection, while the inactivated vaccines were most effective in preventing severe COVID-19 infection. Concerning safety, Sinopharm had the highest safety profile in local side effects, while ZF2001 had the highest safety in unsolicited side effects. Inactivated vaccines had the best safety profile in local and systemic side effects, while mRNA-based vaccines had the poorest safety profile. Thromboembolic events were reported after J&J, AstraZeneca, Pfizer, and Moderna vaccine administration. However, no confirmed vaccine-Induced Thrombotic Thrombocytopenia (VITT) cases were reported after mRNA vaccines [32].

It is necessary to mention that some vaccines’ overall or variant-specific Effectiveness and Efficacy are unavailable after the first or second dose. Moreover, the timing of the second dosing of the vaccines is not elicited in some trials, which may have led to the lower observed overall efficacy after the second dose. Additionally, some reports had noticeable bias by not including enough samples or not considering a broad enough geographical, economic, and age diversity.

We searched various databases and websites to include the maximum number of relevant publications to prevent database bias; after performing Egger’s regression test, we did not find significant publication bias. However, publication bias and heterogeneity for some pooled results must be considered when interpreting the outcomes.

Despite the valuable information provided by this meta-analysis, the study has some limitations to consider, such as the time frame of the studies (November 2020 to April 2022), the exclusion of unpublished data or ongoing investigations, the subjectivity of study selection criteria, and the limited number of vaccines evaluated. Additionally, the study did not consider differences in vaccine distribution among countries or provide data on the vaccines’ effectiveness against severe disease, hospitalization, or death. Despite its limitations, the meta-analysis highlights the need to continue monitoring the vaccines’ effectiveness.

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