An Agent-Based Simulation Model of Epidemic Spread in a Residential School for Children with Disabilities

Adams, Mikaëla M. 2020. ““A Very Serious and Perplexing Epidemic of Grippe” The Influenza of 1918 at the Haskell Institute.” American Indian Quarterly, 44(1): 1–35. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5250/amerindiquar.44.1.0001 

Banerjee, Tapomay, Amjad Khan, and Piriyanga Kesavan. 2021. “Impact of Lockdown and School Closure on Children in Special Schools: A Single-Centre Survey.” BMJ Paediatr Open, 5(1): e000981. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjpo-2020-000981 

Bracchi-Ricard, Valerie, Ji Zha, Annalise Smith, Darlah M. Lopez-Rodriguez, John R. Bethea, and Samita Andreansky. 2016. “Chronic Spinal Cord Injury Attenuates Influenza Virus-Specific Antiviral Immunity.” J Neuroinflammation, 13(1): 125. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12974-016-0574-y 

Brown, Kevin A., Aaron Jones, Nick Daneman, Adrienne K. Chan, Kevin L. Schwartz, Gary E. Garber, Andrew P. Costa, and Nathan M. Stall. 2021. “Association Between Nursing Home Crowding and COVID-19 Infection and Mortality in Ontario, Canada.” JAMA Intern Med, 181(2): 229–236. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.6466 

Centre for Demographic and Ageing Research (CEDAR). 2020. Demographic Data Base, Umeå University. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17197/U19014 

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2012. “Severe Influenza Among Children and Young Adults with Neurologic and Neurodevelopmental Conditions – Ohio, 2011.” Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, 60(51 & 52): 1729–1733. 

Chamberlain, Chelsea. 2020. ““An Avalanche of Unexpected Sickness”: Institutions and Disease in 1918 and Today.” Society for Historians of the Gilded Age and Progressive Era. Accessed 15 May. https://www.shgape.org/an-avalanche-of-unexpected-sickness/. 

Cori, A., A. J. Valleron, F. Carrat, G. Scalia Tomba, G. Thomas, and P. Y. Boelle. 2012. “Estimating Influenza Latency and Infectious Period Durations Using Viral Excretion Data.” Epidemics, 4(3): 132–8. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2012.06.001 

Crane, Laura, Freddie Adu, Francesca Arocas, Rachel Carli, Simon Eccles, Stewart Harris, Jayne Jardine, Chloe Phillips, Sue Piper, Lucia Santi, Matthew Sartin, Claire Shepherd, Kerry Sternstein, Gilly Taylor, and Adrienne Wright. 2021. “Vulnerable and Forgotten: The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Autism Special Schools in England.” Frontiers in Education, 6: 629203. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/feduc.2021.629203 

Dimka, Jessica. 2022. “Holmestrand School Model (Version 1.0.1).” https://www.comses.net/codebases/f62f1f19-eeba-49e1-9b05-ee36e3f8c663/releases/1.0.1/. 

Dimka, Jessica, and Lisa Sattenspiel. 2022. “‘We didn’t get much schooling because we were fishing all the time’: Potential impacts of irregular school attendance on the spread of epidemics.” Am J Hum Biol, 34: e23578. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/ajhb.23578 

Dimka, Jessica, and Svenn-Erik Mamelund. 2020. “1918 Influenza Outcomes among Institutionalized Norwegian Populations: Implications for Disability-Inclusive Pandemic Preparedness.” Scandinavian Journal of Disability Research, 22(1): 175–186. DOI: https://doi.org/10.16993/sjdr.725 

Emerson, Eric, Chris Hatton, Janet Robertson, Hazel Roberts, Susannah Baines, Felicity Evison, and Gyles Glover. 2012. People with Learning Disabilities in England 2011. Improving Health and Lives: Learning Disabilities Observatory (Supported by the Department of Health). https://www.glh.org.uk/pdfs/PWLDAR2011.pdf. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/20441281211198835 

Encinosa, William, Jessica Figueroa, and Youssef Elias. 2022. “Severity of Hospitalizations from SARS-CoV-2 vs Influenza and Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection in Children Aged 5 to 11 Years in 11 US States.” JAMA Pediatr. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapediatrics.2021.6566 

Ertzeid, Heidi. 2021. “Elderly Care During the Pandemic: Norway and Denmark Stand Out.” Accessed April 28. https://www.oslomet.no/en/research/featured-research/elderly-care-during-pandemic-norway-denmark-stand-out. 

Fumanelli, Laura, Marco Ajelli, Stefano Merler, Neil M. Ferguson, and Simon Cauchemez. 2016. “Model-Based Comprehensive Analysis of School Closure Policies for Mitigating Influenza Epidemics and Pandemics.” PLoS Comput Biol, 12(1): e1004681. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004681 

Goldman, Philip S., Marinus H. van Ijzendoorn, Edmund J. S. Sonuga-Barke, and Lancet Institutional Care Reform Commission Group. 2020. “The Implications of COVID-19 for the Care of Children Living in Residential Institutions.” The Lancet Child & Adolescent Health, 4(6): e12. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-4642(20)30130-9 

Gómez-Vázquez, Jose P., Yury E. García, Alec J. Schmidt, Beatriz Martínez-López, and Miriam Nuño. 2021. “Testing and Vaccination to Reduce the Impact of COVID-19 in Nursing Homes: An Agent-Based Approach.” BMC Infectious Diseases, 22: 477. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07385-4 

Hauge, Siri Helene, Inger Johanne Bakken, Birgitte Freiesleben de Blasio, and Siri Eldevik Håberg. 2020. “Risk Conditions in Children Hospitalized with Influenza in Norway, 2017-2019.” BMC Infect Dis, 20(1): 769. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-020-05486-6 

Havers, Fiona, Alicia Fry, Georgina Peacock, and Lyn Finelli. 2014. “Influenza Vaccination and Treatment in Children with Neurologic Disorders.” Ther Adv Vaccines, 2(4): 95–105. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/2051013613519217 

Hine, Deirdre. 2010. The 2009 Influenza Pandemic: An Independent Review of the UK Response to the 2009 Influenza Pandemic. London: Pandemic Flu Response Review Team. 

Holmestrand School for the Deaf. 1920. Annual Report 1918–1919. RA/S-1021/F/Fh/Fhp/L0061. Ministry of Church and Education, 1 school office D. Oslo: The National Archives of Norway. 

Johnson, Niall P. A. S., and Juergen Mueller. 2002. “Updating the Accounts: Global Mortality of the 1918-1920 ‘Spanish’ Influenza Pandemic.” Bulletin of the History of Medicine, 76(1): 105–115. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/bhm.2002.0022 

Kirke- og Undervisningsdepartementet. 1923. Skolevesenets Tilstand [State of the School System] 1918. Kristiania, Oslo: H. Aschehoug & Co. 

Landes, Scott D., Margaret A. Turk, Margaret K. Formica, Katherine E. McDonald, and J. Dalton Stevens. 2020. “COVID-19 Outcomes Among People with Intellectual and Developmental Disability Living in Residential Group Homes in New York State.” Disabil Health J, 13(4): 100969. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dhjo.2020.100969 

Lee, Bruce Y., Shawn T. Brown, Philip Cooley, Maggie A. Potter, William D. Wheaton, Ronald E. Voorhees, Samuel Stebbins, John J. Grefenstette, Shanta M. Zimmer, Richard K. Zimmerman, Tina-Marie Assi, Rachel R. Bailey, Diane K. Wagener, and Donald S. Burke 2010. “Simulating School Closure Strategies to Mitigate an Influenza Epidemic.” J Public Health Manag Pract, 16(3): 252–61. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1097/PHH.0b013e3181ce594e 

Lenehan, Christine, and Mark Geraghty. 2017. Good intentions, good enough? A review of the experiences and outcomes of children and young people in residential special schools and colleges. https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/657418/Good_intentions_good_enough_-_a_review_of_residential_special_schools_and_colleges.pdf. 

Mamelund, Svenn-Erik. 2011. “Geography May Explain Adult Mortality from the 1918-20 Influenza Pandemic.” Epidemics, 3(1): 46–60. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2011.02.001 

Mamelund, Svenn-Erik, and Jessica Dimka. 2019. “Tuberculosis as a Risk Factor for 1918 Influenza Pandemic Outcomes.” Trop Med Infect Dis, 4(2): 74. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed4020074 

Mills, Christina E., James M. Robins, and Marc Lipsitch. 2004. “Transmissibility of 1918 Pandemic Influenza.” Nature, 432: 904–906. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nature03063 

Morris, Jenny, David Abbott, and Linda Ward. 2002. “At Home or Away? An Exploration of Policy and Practice in the Placement of Disabled Children at Residential Schools.” Children & Society, 16(1): 3–16. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/chi.682 

Munro, Alasdair P. S., and Saul N. Faust. 2020. “Children Are Not COVID-19 Super Spreaders: Time to Go Back to School.” Arch Dis Child, 105(7): 618–619. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/archdischild-2020-319474 

National Association of the Deaf. 2021. “Position Statement on Schools for the Deaf.” Accessed 15 May. https://www.nad.org/about-us/position-statements/position-statement-on-schools-for-the-deaf/. 

National Center for Education Statistics. 2021. “Fast Facts: Students with Disabilities, Inclusion Of.” Accessed 15 May. https://nces.ed.gov/fastfacts/display.asp?id=59. 

New York Times. 2021. “Nearly One-Third of U.S. Coronavirus Deaths Are Linked to Nursing Homes.” Last Modified 28 April 2021. Accessed 28 May https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-nursing-homes.html. 

Nguyen, Le Khanh Ngan, Susan Howick, Dennis McLafferty, Gillian H. Anderson, Sahaya J. Pravinkumar, Robert Van Der Meer, and Itamar Megiddo. 2020. “Evaluating Intervention Strategies in Controlling Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Spread in Care Homes: An Agent-Based Model.” Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol, 42(9): 1060–1070. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/ice.2020.1369 

Nies, Henk, Elsbeth Zielman, Else Stapersma, Monique Bressers, Noëlle SantHenk, Elsbeth Zielman, Else Stapersma, Monique Bressers, and Noëlle Sant. November 18, 2020. COVID-19 in long-term care until October 31. Vilans, Centre of Expertise for Long-term Care in the Netherlands. https://www.vilans.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/covid-19-in-long-term-care.pdf. 

Nuno, M., T. A. Reichert, G. Chowell, and A. B. Gumel. 2008. “Protecting Residential Care Facilities from Pandemic Influenza.” Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 105 (30): 10625–30. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0712014105 

Pérez-Padilla, Rogelio, Rosario Fernández, Cecilia García-Sancho, Francisco Franco-Marina, Octavio Aburto, Hugo López-Gatell, and Ietza Bojórquez. 2010. “Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus and Down Syndrome Patients.” Emerg Infect Dis, 16(8): 1312–4. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid1608.091931 

Railsback, Steven F., and Volker Grimm. 2012. Agent-Based and Individual-Based Modeling: A Practical Introduction. Princeton: Princeton University Press. 

Sattenspiel, Lisa. 2003. “Infectious Diseases in the Historical Archives: A Modeling Approach.” In Human Biologists in the Archives: Demography, Health, Nutrition and Genetics in Historical Populations., edited by D. A. Herring and A. C. Swedlund, 234–265. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511542534.012 

Sheikh, Aziz, Asiyah Sheikh, Zakariya Sheikh, and Sangeeta Dhami. 2020. “Reopening Schools after the COVID-19 Lockdown.” J Glob Health, 10(1): 010376. DOI: https://doi.org/10.7189/jogh.10.010376 

Temime, Laura, Lidia Kardas-Sloma, Lulla Opatowski, Christian Brun-Buisson, Pierre-Yves Boëlle, and Didier Guillemot. 2010. “NosoSim: An Agent-Based Model of Nosocomial Pathogens Circulation in Hospitals.” Procedia Computer Science, 1(1): 2245–2252. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2010.04.251 

The American Journal of Managed Care (AJMC) Staff. 2021. “A Timeline of COVID-19 Developments in 2020.” Accessed April 28. https://www.ajmc.com/view/a-timeline-of-covid19-developments-in-2020. 

Turk, Margaret A., Scott D. Landes, Margaret K. Formica, and Katherine D. Goss. 2020. “Intellectual and Developmental Disability and COVID-19 Case-Fatality Trends: TriNetX Analysis.” Disabil Health J, 13(3): 100942. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dhjo.2020.100942 

Ueno, Taro, and Naoki Masuda. 2008. “Controlling Nosocomial Infection Based on Structure of Hospital Social Networks.” J Theor Biol, 254(3): 655–66. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2008.07.001 

van den Dool, Carline, Marc J. M. Bonten, Eelko Hak, Janneke C. M. Heijne, and Jacco Wallinga. 2008. “The Effects of Influenza Vaccination of Health Care Workers in Nursing Homes: Insights from a Mathematical Model.” PLoS Med, 5(10): e200. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050200 

Waldherr, Annie, and Nanda Wijermans. 2013. “Communicating Social Simulation Models to Sceptical Minds.” Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 16(4): 13. DOI: https://doi.org/10.18564/jasss.2247 

Wilensky, Uri. 1999. “NetLogo.” Center for Connected Learning and Computer-Based Modeling, Northwestern University. http://ccl.northwestern.edu/netlogo/. 

Wong, Karen K., Seema Jain, Lenee Blanton, Rosaline Dhara, Lynnette Brammer, Alicia M. Fry, and Lyn Finelli. 2013. “Influenza-Associated Pediatric Deaths in the United States, 2004-2012.” Pediatrics, 132(5): 796–804. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2013-1493 

留言 (0)

沒有登入
gif