JCM, Vol. 11, Pages 7068: A Machine-Learning Model for the Prognostic Role of C-Reactive Protein in Myocarditis

Figure 1. C-reactive protein and survival in patients with myocarditis. Kaplan–Meier survival curves in the entire studied cohort (A) and according to CRP levels (B).

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Figure 2. Variable importance plot according to the random forest algorithm. AECA, anti-endothelial cell auto-antibodies; AHA, anti-heart auto-antibodies; AIDA, anti-intercalated disk auto-antibodies; ANA, anti-nuclear auto-antibodies; CRP, C reactive protein; OS, organ specific.

Figure 2. Variable importance plot according to the random forest algorithm. AECA, anti-endothelial cell auto-antibodies; AHA, anti-heart auto-antibodies; AIDA, anti-intercalated disk auto-antibodies; ANA, anti-nuclear auto-antibodies; CRP, C reactive protein; OS, organ specific.

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Figure 3. Plot of the marginal effect of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), anti-nuclear auto-antibodies (ANA) and biopsy proven status on 3-year predicted survival probability.

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Table 1. Patients’ characteristics.

Table 1. Patients’ characteristics.

All
n = 409Abnormal
CRP Levels
n = 288Normal
CRP Levels
n = 121Missing
Datap-ValueAge, years37 ± 1536 ± 1539 ± 16-0.23Sex, male301 (74)224 (78)77 (64)-0.003EMB-proven myocarditis129 (32)74 (26)55 (45)-<0.001Clinically suspected myocarditis280 (68)214 (76)66 (24)-<0.001Hypertension61 (15)39 (14)22 (18)-0.23Diabetes11 (3)7 (2)4 (3)-0.62Immune-mediated diseases56 (14)37 (13)19 (16)20.46Acute viral infection in the preceding 6 months191 (47)158 (55)33 (28)3<0.001Symptoms duration, months0.5 (0.06–3)0.2 (0.03–1)3 (0.3–18)257<0.001Chest pain223 (55)172 (60)51 (42)-<0.001Palpitations41 (10)20 (7)21 (17)-0.002Syncope20 (5)8 (3)12 (10)-0.002Symptoms variation in the 12 months preceding diagnosis66 (16)39 (14)27 (22)-0.029Clinical presentation, infarct-like25 (6)19 (7)6 (5)-0.53Clinical presentation, heart failure68 (17)46 (16)22 (18)-0.58Clinical presentation, arrhythmias39 (10)12 (4)27 (22)-<0.001NYHA class II-IV61 (15)37 (12)24 (21)10.054LV heart failure at presentation69 (17)47 (16)22 (18)-0.65RV heart failure at presentation26 (6)18 (6)8 (7)-0.89Troponin I, ng/L4455 (438–13684)6140 (1148–15298)1150 (12–6030)-<0.001AHA positivity174 (52)112 (48)62 (61)750.025AIDA positivity116 (35)75 (32)41 (41)740.25AECA positivity3 (1)2 (1)1 (1)960.91ANA positivity37 (12)26 (11)11 (11)880.95LVEF Angio, %53 ± 1754 ± 1653 ± 18-0.87LVEDVi Echo, mL/m268 ± 2467 ± 2270 ± 28600.69LVEF Echo, %51 ± 1351 ± 1350 ± 14270.65RVEDA Echo, cm220.8 ± 4.720.7 ± 4.321.0 ± 5.72050.96RVFAC Echo, %42.1 ± 9.842.2 ± 10.441.9 ± 8.52190.73Mitral regurgitation Echo, moderate-severe34 (10)26 (10)8 (9)780.84LVEDVi CMR, mL/m288 (78–104)88 (79–102)90 (74–106)-0.83RVEDVi CMR, mL/m282 (74–94)84 (74–95)80 (70–91)-0.22LVEF CMR, %57 (52–62)57 (53–62)59 (51–62)-0.69RVEF CMR, %58 (54–63)58 (53–62)59 (55–65)-0.12Presence of myocardial edema on CMR190 (58)145 (61)50 (47)810.014Presence of myocardial LGE on CMR288 (88)210 (90)78 (84)830.17Lateral wall LGE37 (17)31 (20)6 (9)1900.028

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