The cognitive foundations of tacit commitments: A virtual bargaining model of dynamic interactions

ElsevierVolume 108, June 2022, 102640Journal of Mathematical PsychologyHighlights•

Analyze how psychological commitments emerge from reasoning about tacit agreements.

Argue that tacit agreements may provide the origin of social norms, rules, and customs .

Our approach does not require non-standard assumptions about individual preferences.

Provide a reasoning-based account of commitments based on “virtual bargaining”.

“Virtual bargaining” joins elements of individualistic and collaborative reasoning.

Analyze two “virtual bargaining” equilibrium concepts in extensive-form games.

Examine psychological commitments to punish violations of an unenforceable agreement.

Cooperation can emerge in the Centipede and finitely repeated Prisoner’s Dilemma games.

Abstract

People often make, and are held to account for, purely tacit commitments in interactions with other people: commitments that have never been explicitly articulated or agreed. Moreover, unspoken, tacit commitments are often perceived as binding: people often stick to, and are expected to stick to, these commitments, even where it might seem against their interests to do so. If they do not stick to these commitments, they may be punished, and expect to be punished, by others as a result, even if the act of punishment is itself costly for the punisher. These commitments have been widely seen as a crucial underpinning for human collaboration and cooperation. Yet how do such commitments arise, and are they compatible with human rationality? This paper provides a formal, reasoning-based account of tacit commitments based on “virtual bargaining”—a mode of reasoning that joins elements of individualistic and collaborative reasoning. We complement existing accounts by showing that even purely self-interested individuals can, under certain conditions, tacitly commit to punishing counterparts who violate an unenforceable agreement, or to cooperating in dynamic games, including the Centipede game and the finitely repeated Prisoner’s Dilemma game.

Keywords

Virtual bargaining

Commitment

Tacit agreement

Subgame perfection

Credible threats

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