Diverging incidence trends of oral tongue cancer compared with other head and neck cancers in young adults in France

While head and neck cancer (HNC) incidence decreased worldwide due to reduced tobacco and alcohol consumption, oral tongue cancer (OTC) incidence has been reported to be increasing in several countries. This study examines the incidence trends of OTC in France from 1990 to 2018, globally and by age; and compares the incidence trends with the evolution of the incidence of other HPV-unrelated HNSCC, i.e. cancers of the remaining subsites of the oral cavity (RSOCC) and laryngeal cancers for the period 1990 to 2018. World age-standardised incidence rates of oral tongue cancers (C02), cancers of the remaining subsites of the oral cavity (RSOCC, C03-06) and laryngeal cancers (C32) were estimated using the French National Network of Cancer Registries (FRANCIM) for the period 1990 to 2018. Trends in national incidence rates were estimated from a mixed-effect Poisson model including age and year effects using penalized splines and a district-random effect. In women aged 30 and 40, a significant increase in OTC incidence was observed, while ROSCC showed a non-significant incidence decrease. In young men aged 25, a marginally significant increase of OTC incidence years was observed, while incidence rates of RSOCC significantly declined. The results suggest a tendency towards diverging incidence trends for OTC compared with RSOCC and laryngeal cancer in young adults. The observed trends may reflect changes in underlying exposures or emerging exposures not yet identified, and stress the need to further investigate the etiology of oral tongue cancers.

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